Did the comprehensive health reforms truly fulfill their promises?
While some health metrics have shown improvement three years post-reform, experts Arshad Ali and Ehtasham Ghauri argue that access to primary care continues to be inconsistent across different regions.
When the previous Labour-led government introduced the Pae Ora (Healthy Futures) reforms in 2022, they heralded it as the most significant transformation of New Zealand's healthcare system in a generation.
This extensive overhaul aimed to eliminate longstanding fragmentation within the system, bridge care gaps based on geographical location, and address enduring health disparities.
Now, three years later, with a new government in place, what can we conclude about the effectiveness of these reforms?
Our upcoming analysis delves into this question and reveals a mixed picture. On one hand, there has been noticeable improvement in national coordination during crises and enhanced planning efforts. However, for many individuals, securing routine primary care services, particularly GP appointments, has become increasingly challenging.
The political shift also brings forth a critical insight: although structural reforms can enhance capacity, without sustained political unity and clear accountability, any progress made towards health equity remains precarious.
What changes did the reforms actually implement?
The reforms did away with the previous structure of 20 district health boards, establishing a singular national body known as Health New Zealand. Additionally, a Māori Health Authority was created to incorporate Treaty-based governance and commissioning.
This was a significant achievement for New Zealand, acknowledging the importance of Māori leadership within the health sector and the principles of te Tiriti partnership. The underlying goal was simple: by centralizing the system, the aim was to enhance planning capabilities, enable quicker responses in emergencies, and provide more consistent services nationwide.
In specific areas, our findings indicate that the reforms have indeed been beneficial. For instance, centralized coordination has improved winter preparedness, ensured pay equity among the workforce, streamlined procurement processes, and facilitated the movement of patients and resources during high-pressure times.
During major weather-related incidents and seasonal surges, like Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023, the health system functioned more effectively as a unified entity instead of a disjointed collection of local services.
However, these enhancements have not resulted in improved accessibility to everyday primary care, which is now a pressing concern among the public.
General practice stands as the frontline indicator of the reforms' success, and the anticipated decision to dismantle the Māori Health Authority in 2024 will serve as an additional stress test for the resilience of the system.
According to a survey conducted by the Health Quality & Safety Commission in 2025, approximately one in five adults reported being unable to access care from their usual GP or nurse when needed. The primary reasons cited were long wait times, staff shortages, or clinic closures.
Such delays in primary care often lead more individuals to seek treatment in emergency departments, putting additional strain on hospitals. Vulnerable populations, particularly Māori and Pacific communities, are disproportionately affected, highlighting the ongoing inequities that the reforms were designed to rectify.
Even though certain health indicators have seen improvements since the reforms were initiated, the access to primary care continues to be uneven. Factors such as affordability and availability play critical roles in determining who receives timely medical attention.
These statistics position access to GPs as a vital measure of whether the health system is living up to its commitments.
More specifically, this trend sheds light on a significant limitation of the reforms: while centralization may enhance coordination, it does not inherently ensure accessibility, affordability, or a sustainable funding model for general practices.
In simpler terms, the elements that influence people's daily experiences with the healthcare system were not thoroughly addressed in the reforms.
Why does access to GPs remain the true test of success?
These challenges largely lie beyond the structural modifications introduced in the 2022 reforms, yet they play a crucial role in shaping how individuals interact with the health system on a daily basis.
Equity was intended to be a fundamental aspect of the reforms, particularly with the establishment of the Māori Health Authority.
The goal was to empower Māori voices in health policy-making, commissioning services, and establishing priorities. However, the decision to disband the Māori Health Authority in 2024 underscores a core challenge within New Zealand's health reform initiatives.
Supporters of a single system argue that it enhances efficiency and clarity. In contrast, critics contend that this move demonstrates that equity was never firmly integrated but remained subject to political whims.
The Waitangi Tribunal has determined that the Crown failed to uphold its Treaty obligations concerning the dissolution of the authority.
Regardless of one's political viewpoint, the elimination of this authority exposes a deeper issue: reforms rooted in contested governance frameworks, lacking widespread political support, are always vulnerable to reversal.
Thus, the transition to a new government highlights how fragile these reforms can be when they lack bipartisan support and robust accountability mechanisms. As governance structures change with each election, continuity and public trust are compromised.
None of this suggests that the 2022 reforms were misguided; they were a response to real and well-documented issues.
Prior to the reforms, the healthcare system was more fragmented, inconsistent, and often bewildering for both patients and providers. Centralizing the system has mitigated duplication and improved national oversight in ways that were challenging under the previous model.
However, the experiences of the last three years illustrate that merely implementing structural reforms does not guarantee fairness or access. In fact, health systems evolve slowly, with outcomes largely influenced by factors such as funding, workforce availability, incentives, and political stability, rather than just organizational charts.
For the majority of New Zealanders, the success of these reforms will ultimately be assessed not by how well agencies align at the top, but by their ability to see a GP when they need one, afford their visits, and avoid unnecessary hospitalizations as a result.
By this standard, it appears the reforms are still a work in progress, and their future now hinges as much on the political landscape as on the policies themselves.